2018’s Best & Worst State Economies
2:30 AMPosted by: Richie Bernardo
U.S. economic growth depends heavily on the performance of individual states. But some contribute more than others. California, for instance, blossomed in 2017 as the fifth largest economy in the world, boasting a GDP larger than that of countries like the U.K., France and India. Meanwhile, Alaska, a state with valuable natural resources, is struggling with the highest unemployment rate in the country, at 7.3%.
In order to determine which states are pulling the most weight, WalletHub compared the 50 states and the District of Columbia across 28 key indicators of economic performance and strength. Our data set ranges from GDP growth to startup activity to share of jobs in high-tech industries. Read on for our findings, expert insight from a panel of researchers and a full description of our methodology.
Main FindingsEmbed on your website<iframe src="//d2e70e9yced57e.cloudfront.net/wallethub/embed/21697/geochart-best-performing-states.html" width="556" height="347" frameBorder="0" scrolling="no"></iframe> <div style="width:556px;font-size:12px;color:#888;">Source: <a href="https://ift.tt/2xEvoye>
Best State Economies
Overall Rank (1 = Best) |
State |
Total Score |
‘Economic Activity’ Rank |
‘Economic Health’ Rank |
‘Innovation Potential’ Rank |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Washington | 81.30 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
2 | Utah | 74.24 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
3 | Massachusetts | 73.02 | 4 | 23 | 1 |
4 | California | 70.75 | 3 | 32 | 3 |
5 | Colorado | 66.45 | 8 | 3 | 4 |
6 | District of Columbia | 58.81 | 7 | 7 | 17 |
7 | Idaho | 58.03 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
8 | Oregon | 57.37 | 12 | 21 | 7 |
9 | Georgia | 57.03 | 5 | 12 | 25 |
10 | Texas | 55.83 | 10 | 8 | 21 |
11 | Michigan | 55.10 | 21 | 30 | 5 |
12 | North Carolina | 55.06 | 19 | 9 | 11 |
13 | Arizona | 54.86 | 11 | 17 | 14 |
14 | New Hampshire | 54.12 | 32 | 11 | 6 |
15 | Maryland | 53.48 | 18 | 31 | 9 |
16 | Delaware | 52.32 | 16 | 19 | 15 |
17 | Minnesota | 52.10 | 28 | 14 | 12 |
18 | New York | 51.42 | 9 | 39 | 20 |
19 | Virginia | 50.31 | 15 | 10 | 26 |
20 | Nevada | 49.71 | 6 | 20 | 43 |
21 | Florida | 49.40 | 14 | 5 | 35 |
22 | New Jersey | 48.16 | 20 | 44 | 13 |
23 | Indiana | 45.55 | 26 | 22 | 31 |
24 | Pennsylvania | 45.08 | 23 | 40 | 22 |
25 | Vermont | 45.02 | 40 | 25 | 16 |
26 | Tennessee | 44.88 | 22 | 6 | 42 |
27 | Wisconsin | 44.69 | 33 | 16 | 27 |
28 | South Carolina | 44.35 | 17 | 26 | 40 |
29 | Missouri | 43.76 | 35 | 24 | 24 |
30 | Connecticut | 42.82 | 46 | 45 | 8 |
31 | Ohio | 41.86 | 24 | 41 | 30 |
32 | Rhode Island | 41.19 | 36 | 38 | 23 |
33 | North Dakota | 40.99 | 31 | 27 | 37 |
34 | Montana | 40.70 | 37 | 18 | 33 |
35 | Illinois | 40.35 | 27 | 49 | 28 |
36 | Nebraska | 39.84 | 44 | 13 | 34 |
37 | Iowa | 38.41 | 42 | 33 | 32 |
38 | Alabama | 38.13 | 34 | 36 | 39 |
39 | Kansas | 37.41 | 48 | 35 | 29 |
40 | Wyoming | 36.09 | 30 | 43 | 41 |
41 | Kentucky | 35.88 | 25 | 42 | 47 |
42 | New Mexico | 35.20 | 45 | 50 | 19 |
43 | Hawaii | 35.13 | 41 | 29 | 44 |
44 | Oklahoma | 34.51 | 47 | 37 | 38 |
45 | South Dakota | 34.00 | 51 | 15 | 46 |
46 | Maine | 33.97 | 38 | 28 | 48 |
47 | Arkansas | 31.50 | 43 | 34 | 49 |
48 | West Virginia | 31.22 | 29 | 48 | 51 |
49 | Alaska | 31.19 | 39 | 51 | 36 |
50 | Mississippi | 28.14 | 50 | 46 | 45 |
51 | Louisiana | 26.07 | 49 | 47 | 50 |
Not all economic growth strategies are effective. For the best ways to stimulate the economy and achieve lasting prosperity, we asked a panel of experts to share their thoughts on the following key questions:
- What are the most effective ways for state and local officials to boost their local economies?
- What can states do to prevent “brain drain” and develop, attract and retain highly skilled workers?
- States often compete for business investment by offering tax breaks and other incentives. Do such efforts more often result in a net positive or net negative impact on state economies? Do such efforts create a “race to the bottom” across states?
- What makes a state attractive to potential entrepreneurs?
- In evaluating the states with the best economies, what are the top five indicators?
Adrian Lottie Associate Professor at Eastern Michigan University
Steven C. Deller Professor and Community Development Specialist in the Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics at University of Wisconsin—Madison
Stephan Weiler Professor of Economics, William E. Morgan Chair and Director of the Regional Economic Development Institute (REDI) at Colorado State University
Mike Paruszkiewicz Adjunct Instructor of Economics and Research Associate, Northwest Economic Research Center at Portland State University
Kim Rueben Senior Fellow at Urban Institute and Adjunct Fellow at Public Policy Institute of California
James Davenport Professor of Political Science at Rose State College
Edward Montgomery Dean of the McCourt School of Public Policy at Georgetown University
David Primo Ani and Mark Gabrellian Professor and Associate Professor of Political Science and Business Administration at University of Rochester
David J. Hebert Assistant Professor of Economics in the Manuel H. Johnson Center for Political Economy at Troy University
Christopher R. Bollinger Sturgill Professor of Economics and Director of the Center for Business and Economics in the Gatton College of Business and Economics at University of Kentucky
Brent R. Hickman Assistant Professor of Economics at University of Chicago
Cecil E. Bohanon Professor of Economics at Ball State University, Muncie, Indiana
Katherine Chalmers Associate Professor of Economics at California State University at Sacramento
Gregory H. Wingfield Fellow at the Center for Public Policy in the Douglas Wilder School of Government and Public Affairs at VCU Wilder School


- What is happening to the housing markets over time?
- The Kauffman Foundation Entrepreneurship Index.
- Access to higher education (some studies suggest that "some college" is more important than a college degree for economic growth development).
- Greater flexibility for local control (look at states with tax and expenditure limitations that limit local communities from experimenting).
- Higher rates of immigration (foreign) in-migration.


- Cyclicality (how exposed/sensitive a local economy is to the macro business cycle).
- Population change, particularly migration.
- Industrial makeup (i.e., economic diversity and resilience).


- A strong education system that develops entrepreneurial skills.
- Low barriers to starting a business (or an occupation that could lead to starting a business).
- Tax policies that are conducive to business formation (generally low and few loopholes).
- A cultural life that inspires what economist Richard Florida has termed the “creative class” for those who want to live and share their talents in.
- Low barriers to entrepreneurship and business formation.
- Low tax rates (especially corporate and personal taxes).
- Quality education system (recognizing that not everyone defines this the same way).
- Centers of culture and entertainment within the state.
- Willingness to accept “outsiders” into their communities and allow creative people the freedom to be who they are and express that creativity in ways that will profit both them and their communities.

- Rate of growth of employment;
- Rate of new business startups;
- Median wages or household income;
- Share of the population employed;
- Some measure of resiliency or dependency on a single industry or sector.





- Economic growth overall;
- Economic growth in income per capita;
- In migration to the region, or more precisely, net changes in in-migration;
- Business profits;
- Wage/employment increases.


- Invest in education: K-12, the Trades, STEM , Community Colleges and Higher Ed.
- Fund more infrastructure: port improvements, better airports and more alternative transit.
- Revisit the existing tax burden on new and existing business and cut where appropriate.
- Develop a comprehensive workforce training (re-training) program that includes: getting that first rung of the ladder job, re-training for dislocated workers, training for "gap" workers.
- Encourage more research to be conducted at state universities in cyber security, advanced manufacturing, bioengineering, etc.
- Encourage exporting by SMEs by helping to train them for overseas selling and subsidize their efforts.
- Provide tax credits to companies hiring tech level employees.
- Waive in-state tuition for those employees of companies moving to the area or expanding.
- Work with State higher education and the business community to hire "local" at job fairs, etc.
- Provide funds to "retain" laid off workers while they are being re-trained so they don't lose their house, car, etc.
- Maintain a positive business climate (Virginia does a very good job).
- Provide access to V.C./Angels/2nd stage funds.
- Provide access to low cost or free business.
- Number of new jobs added versus the loss of jobs, and note the net number.
- Keep up with the unemployment insurance pay out not just the unemployment rate.
- Monitor the new housing sales and review the change in housing cost.
- State government surplus or deficit.
- Nonfarm payroll growth.
- Consumer price index and cost of living.
- Consumer and business confidence numbers.
In order to determine the best state economies, WalletHub compared the 50 states and the District of Columbia across three key dimensions: 1) Economic Activity, 2) Economic Health and 3) Innovation Potential.
We evaluated those dimensions using 28 relevant metrics, which are listed below with their corresponding weights. Each metric was graded on a 100-point scale, with a score of 100 representing the highest economic performance.
We then determined each state and the District’s weighted average across all metrics to calculate its overall score and used the resulting scores to rank-order our sample.
Economic Activity – Total Points: 33.33- GDP Growth: Quadruple Weight (~13.33 Points)
- Share of Fast-Growing Firms: Triple Weight (~10.00 Points)Note: This metric measures the number of firms in Deloitte’s Technology Fast 500 list as a percentage of total firms.
- Exports per Capita: Full Weight (~3.33 Points)
- Startup Activity: Full Weight (~3.33 Points)Note: This metric measures the rate of newly established firms.
- Quality of Legal System: Full Weight (~3.33 Points)
- Unemployment Rate: Double Weight (~4.30 Points)
- Underemployment Rate: Half Weight (~1.08 Points)
- Change in Nonfarm Payrolls (2017 vs. 2016): Full Weight (~2.15 Points)
- Change in Total Civilian Labor Force (2017 vs. 2016): Full Weight (~2.15 Points)
- Increase in Ratio of Full-Time Jobs to Part-Time Jobs (2016 vs. 2015): Half Weight (~1.08 Points)
- Median Annual Household Income Adjusted for Cost of Living: Full Weight (~2.15 Points)
- Growth in State Personal Income (2017 vs 2016): Full Weight (~2.15 Points)
- Government Surplus/Deficit per Capita: Full Weight (~2.15 Points)
- Unfunded Public Pension Plans per Capita: Full Weight (~2.15 Points)
- Share of Uninsured Population: Half Weight (~1.08 Points)
- Share of Population in Poverty: Full Weight (~2.15 Points)
- Foreclosure Rate: Full Weight (~2.15 Points)
- Growth in Number of Businesses (2016 vs. 2015): Full Weight (~2.15 Points)
- Fiscal Health: Full Weight (~2.15 Points)Note: This metric is based on the George Mason University Mercatus Center’s state fiscal rankings, particularly the State Fiscal Condition Index, which refers to the sum of cash, budget, long-run, service-level and trust-fund solvency indices for each state.
- Building-Permit Activity: Full Weight (~2.15 Points)Note: This metric measures the total number of new privately owned residential-building permits issued annually per capita.
- Average Educational Attainment of Recent Immigrants: Half Weight (~1.08 Points)Note: The educational attainment of recent immigrants aged 25 and older from a foreign country is classified as having either no high school diploma; a high school diploma or equivalent; some college experience or an associate’s degree; a bachelor’s degree; or a graduate or professional degree.
- Average Educational Attainment of Recent Migrants from Other U.S. States: Half Weight (~1.08 Points)Note: The educational attainment of recent migrants aged 25 and older from other states within the U.S. is classified as having either no high school diploma; a high school diploma or equivalent; some college experience or an associate’s degree; a bachelor’s degree; or a graduate or professional degree.
- Share of Jobs in High-Tech Industries: Full Weight (~5.56 Points)
- Share of Jobs STEM Professionals: Full Weight (~5.56 Points)
- Independent Inventor Patents per 1,000 Working-Age Population: Full Weight (~5.56 Points)
- Industry R&D Investment Amount per Total Civilian Employed Population: Full Weight (~5.56 Points)Note: “R&D” refers to research and development.
- Nonindustry R&D Investment Amount as Share of GDP: Full Weight (~5.56 Points)Note: “R&D” refers to research and development.
- Entrepreneurial Activity: Full Weight (~5.56 Points)Note: This metric is based on the Kauffman Index of Startup Activity, which is an equally weighted index of three normalized measures of startup activity, as defined by the Kauffman Foundation: the Rate of New Entrepreneurs (percentage of adults becoming entrepreneurs in a given month); the Opportunity Share of New Entrepreneurs (percentage of new entrepreneurs driven primarily by “opportunity” vs. “necessity”); and the Startup Density of a Region (number of new employer businesses, normalized by the business population).
Sources: Data used to create this ranking were collected from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Deloitte, United Health Foundation, Mercatus Center at George Mason University, Council for Community and Economic Research, Renwood RealtyTrac, United States Patent and Trademark Office, National Science Foundation and Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation.
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